نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری روابط بین‌الملل، گروه روابط بین‌الملل، دانشگاه آزاد، واحد تهران مرکز، تهران، ایران
2 استادیارگروه روابط بین‌الملل دانشگاه آزاد، واحد تهران مرکز تهران، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
This research examines the complex relationship between the United States and China in the Taiwan Strait through a network of geopolitical tensions, economic interdependencies, and regional security considerations. The importance and necessity of analyzing the relations between the United States and China in the Taiwan Strait lies in clarifying the basis of the relations between these two powers, which has important regional and international consequences. The main question that guides this research is: how does strategic ambiguity affect the dynamics of deterrence in the Taiwan Strait? This research aims to investigate the role of strategic ambiguity in the context of deterrence in the Taiwan Strait. The main hypothesis is that strategic ambiguity can increase deterrence by creating uncertainty and increasing the costs of possible aggression, which may lead to instability in the Taiwan Strait. To achieve this goal, quantitative and qualitative analysis will be used, including analysis of documents, policies, expert reviews, and historical case studies.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
Atanassov, J., Julio, B., & Leng, T. (2024). The bright side of political uncertainty: The case of R&D, The Review of Financial Studies, 1-48.
Bush, R. C. (2015). At cross purposes: US-Taiwan relations since 1942, Routledge.
Benson, B. V., & Niou, E. M. (2000). Comprehending strategic ambiguity: US policy toward the Taiwan Strait security issue. Unpublished paper, Department of Political Science, Duke University.
Boon, H. T., & Sworn, H. E. (2020). Strategic ambiguity and the Trumpian approach to China–Taiwan relations, International Affairs, 96(6), 1487-1508.
Clark, C. (2010). The Taiwan Relations Act and the US balancing role in cross-strait relations, American Journal of Chinese Studies, 3-18.
Chiu, H. (1981). The Future of US-Taiwan Relations. Asian Affairs: An American Review, 9(1), 20-30.
Chase, M. S. (2005). US–Taiwan Security Cooperation: Enhancing an Unofficial Relationship, In Dangerous Strait: The US-Taiwan-China Crisis, Columbia University Press.
Chou, C. C. (2018). Contending notions of the cross-strait status quo in Taiwan and across the strait: Impacts on US-Taiwan relations, China Review, 18(3), 121-148.
Chang-Liao, N. C., & Fang, C. (2021). The case for maintaining strategic ambiguity in the Taiwan Strait, The Washington Quarterly, 44(2), 45-60.
Ford, C. (2022). Defending Taiwan: Defense and Deterrence. Occasional Papers, 2(2), 11-12.
George S. (2010) Life of Reason: Introduction and Reason in Common Sense, New York: Charles Scribner’s Sons.
Glaser, B. S., Bush, R. C., & Green, M. J. (2022). Toward a stronger US-Taiwan relationship. Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS).
Goldstein, S. M., & Schriver, R. (2001). An uncertain relationship: The United States, Taiwan and the Taiwan Relations Act. The China Quarterly, 165, 147-172.
Guo, B., & Teng, C. C. (Eds.). (2012). Taiwan and the Rise of China: Cross-strait Relations in the Twenty-first Century. Rowman & Littlefield.
Hsu, S. P. (2023). Domestic power reshuffles in 2022 and US-Taiwan-China relations. Foreign Policy at Brookings
Harris, P., & McKinney, J. M. (2024). Strategic clarity or calamity? Competing logics of deterrence in the Taiwan Strait. International Affairs, 100(3), 1171-1187.
Höglund, J. (2024). Does the support of Taiwan by the US provide sufficient deterrence to prevent a Chinese invasion? A predictive study on the future of Taiwan.
Littlefield, A. (2014). Political resolve and strategic uncertainty in Taiwan-US relations. In Changing Security Dynamics in East Asia: A Post-US Regional Order in the Making? London: Palgrave Macmillan UK.
Kan, S. A., & Morrison, W. M. (2013, November). US-Taiwan relationship: Overview of policy issues. Library o66, of Congress, Congressional Research Service.
Kastner, S. L. (2018). International relations theory and the relationship across the Taiwan Strait. International Journal of Taiwan Studies, 1(1), 161-183.
McKinney, J. M., & Harris, P. (2024). Deterrence Gap: Avoiding War in the Taiwan Strait. USAWC Press.
Mazarr, M. J., Beauchamp-Mustafaga, N., Heath, T. R., & Eaton, D. (2021). What Deters and Why: The State of Deterrence in Korea and the Taiwan Strait. RAND Corporation.
Nam, K. K. (2020). US Strategy and Role in Cross-Strait Relations: Focusing on US-Taiwan Relations. The Journal of East Asian Affairs, 155-176.
|
Ross, R. S. (2002). Navigating the Taiwan Strait: Deterrence, escalation dominance, and US-China relations. International Security, 27(2), 48-85. Schriver, R. G. (2023). A Perfect Storm: Managing Conflict in the Taiwan Strait A Perfect Storm. Tsai, T. C., & Liu, T. T. T. (2017). Cross-strait relations and regional integration: A review of the Ma Ying-Jeou era (2008–2016). Journal of Current Chinese Affairs, 46(1), 11-35. Xiying, Z. (2021). Unbalanced deterrence: Coercive threat, reassurance and the US-China rivalry in Taiwan Strait. The Pacific Review, 34(4), 547-576. |
Zhongqi, P. (2001). The dilemma of deterrence: US strategic ambiguity policy and its implications for the Taiwan Strait. The Henry L. Stimson Center.
)